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Evaluating the effects of SARS-CoV-2 Spike mutation D614G on transmissibility and pathogenicity

Erik Volz, Verity Hill, John T.McCrone2AnnaPrice3DavidJorgensen1ÃineO’Toole2JoelSouthgate34RobertJohnson1BenJackson2Fabricia F.Nascimento1Sara M.Rey4Samuel M.Nicholls5Rachel M.Colquhoun2Anada Silva Filipe6JamesShepherd6David J.Pascall7RajivShah6NatashaJesudason6…Thomas R.Connor3412
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Resumen

Global dispersal and increasing frequency of the SARS-CoV-2 Spike protein variant D614G are suggestive of a selective advantage but may also be due to a random founder effect. We investigate the hypothesis for positive selection of Spike D614G in the United Kingdom using more than 25,000 whole genome SARS-CoV-2 sequences. Despite the availability of a large data set, well represented by both Spike 614 variants, not all approaches showed a conclusive signal of positive selection. Population genetic analysis indicates that 614G increases in frequency relative to 614D in a manner consistent with a selective advantage. We do not find any indication that patients infected with the Spike 614G variant have higher COVID-19 mortality or clinical severity, but 614G is associated with higher viral load and younger age of patients. Significant differences in growth and size of 614G phylogenetic clusters indicate a need for continued study of this variant.

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Palabras clave COVID-19, SARS-CoV-2, evolution, founder effect, epidemiology, Spike
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Publicado en el sitio 2020-11-30 17:37:34

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